Each team's chance to reach the playoffs, from a Monte Carlo over the player-value game model — games played fixed to actual, the rest simulated. Projected points and a strength index sit alongside.
| Team | Conf | Playoff % ▼ | Proj Pts | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | West | 100.0 | 117.3 | +0.42 |
| DAL | West | 100.0 | 111.6 | +0.12 |
| MIN | West | 100.0 | 104.4 | -0.04 |
| CAR | East | 99.9 | 107.1 | +0.10 |
| BUF | East | 99.3 | 104.8 | +0.23 |
| TBL | East | 98.4 | 103.4 | +0.20 |
| ANA | West | 95.3 | 94.8 | +0.23 |
| MTL | East | 94.2 | 101.9 | +0.28 |
| VGK | West | 91.1 | 93.2 | +0.20 |
| CBJ | East | 87.9 | 99.8 | +0.79 |
| PIT | East | 80.5 | 98.3 | -0.11 |
| NYI | East | 80.1 | 98.6 | +0.07 |
| EDM | West | 72.9 | 90.0 | -0.06 |
| UTA | West | 71.5 | 89.9 | -0.31 |
| DET | East | 58.3 | 96.3 | -0.20 |
| BOS | East | 51.5 | 95.6 | -0.40 |
| SJS | West | 46.9 | 88.2 | -0.42 |
| SEA | West | 42.5 | 87.2 | +0.00 |
| LAK | West | 37.3 | 87.3 | +0.03 |
| OTT | East | 31.2 | 93.7 | -0.19 |
| NSH | West | 20.4 | 84.9 | -0.43 |
| STL | West | 15.2 | 84.2 | +0.51 |
| PHI | East | 9.4 | 90.8 | -0.19 |
| WSH | East | 8.1 | 90.3 | +0.43 |
| WPG | West | 6.6 | 82.2 | -0.04 |
| FLA | East | 0.9 | 85.6 | -0.27 |
| NJD | East | 0.4 | 85.2 | -0.04 |
| TOR | East | 0.1 | 83.7 | +0.02 |
| CGY | West | 0.1 | 75.5 | -0.28 |
| CHI | West | 0.1 | 77.2 | -0.46 |
| NYR | East | 0.0 | 82.6 | -0.03 |
| VAN | West | 0.0 | 64.3 | -0.17 |