Prices
established production (two seasons)at the market’s own pay curve, in today’s cap dollars — not term, growth, aging, or negotiation.
How this worksContract Surplus
+$2.9Munderpaidone-season rating
Produces like #44 of 118 priced defensemen on 2024-25 alone (one qualifying season), paid like the #88 — $4.5M (#97 restated).
market pays $7.4M at that rank vs $4.5M in 2026-27 dollars
one-season rating — the blend rests on 2024-25 only (he qualified in one of the two blend seasons); wider uncertainty than a two-season read
AAV $4.5M · 4.7% of cap at signing · $4.5M in 2026-27 dollars
Below the model’s value/AAV floor — not a headline bargain.