Prices
established production (two seasons)at the market’s own pay curve, in today’s cap dollars — not term, growth, aging, or negotiation.
How this worksContract Surplus
+$6.7Munderpaidgrowth deal — priced on projection
Produces like #2 of 118 priced defensemen over two seasons (5:3 blend of Season impact), paid like the #18 — $8.8M (#31 restated).
market pays $15.5M at that rank vs $8.8M in 2026-27 dollars
2025-26 alone: #3 of 108
priced on the trajectory: 2024-25 +1.35σ → 2025-26 +2.67σ
AAV $8.8M · 9.3% of cap at signing · $8.8M in 2026-27 dollars