Prices
established production (two seasons)at the market’s own pay curve, in today’s cap dollars — not term, growth, aging, or negotiation.
How this worksContract Surplus
+$1.4Munderpaidgrowth deal — priced on projectionone-season rating
Produces like #91 of 250 priced forwards on 2025-26 alone (one qualifying season), paid like the #137 — $5.1M (#157 restated).
market pays $6.5M at that rank vs $5.1M in 2026-27 dollars
2025-26 alone: #108 of 249
one-season rating — the blend rests on 2025-26 only (he qualified in one of the two blend seasons); wider uncertainty than a two-season read
priced on the trajectory: 2024-25 — → 2025-26 +0.11σ
AAV $5.1M · 5.4% of cap at signing · $5.1M in 2026-27 dollars
Below the model’s value/AAV floor — not a headline bargain.