43
2026–27 · player profile
Luke
Hughes.
NJD· D· Shoots L· 6'2" / 198 lbs· Age 23· Manchester, New Hampshire
GP
2
G
1
A
0
PTS
1
+/–
+1
TOI/GP
—
Tonight vs PHIProjected shots 2.4 · P(2+) 66% · P(3+) 42%D1 · PP1 · not a betting product — methodology
Value Model
Edgework action value · 2025–26
Prices established production (two seasons)at the market’s own pay curve, in today’s cap dollars — not term, growth, aging, or negotiation. How this works
Contract Surplus
−$4.1Moverpaidgrowth deal — priced on projection
Produces like #63 of 118 priced defensemen over two seasons (5:3 blend of Season impact), paid like the #13 — $9.0M (#22 restated).
market pays $5.7M at that rank vs $9.8M in 2026-27 dollars
2025-26 alone: #87 of 108
priced on the trajectory: 2024-25 +0.54σ → 2025-26 −0.83σ
AAV $9.0M · 9.4% of cap at signing · $9.8M in 2026-27 dollars
Net contribution
−3.9goals vs avg · 5v5-1.26net (σ)
#98 of 108 defensemen
≈ ~−0.7 wins vs positional average
5v5 zone-rate vs position peers
Season impact
+8.8
#87 of 108 defensemen
total action value, all strengths
Offensive contribution
0.32
#66 of 108 defensemen
Defensive contribution
-0.05
#104 of 108 defensemen
Shooting
0.18
Playmaking
0.15
Shot-blocking
0.10
RAPM net · 3-yr
-0.19
Positional Value
vs position peers
Projected · 2026-27Net Contribution
32ndpercentile among
projected defensemen
projected defensemen
Rank 94 of 138 defensemenproj -1
Data · NHL EDGE
EDGE data refreshed recentlyCached · 12 hours