77
2026–27 · player profile
Luke
Evangelista.
NJD· R· Shoots R· 6'0" / 183 lbs· Age 24· Toronto, Ontario
GP
2
G
0
A
1
PTS
1
+/–
0
TOI/GP
—
Tonight vs UTAProjected shots 2.0 · P(2+) 57% · P(3+) 32%F2 · PP1 · not a betting product — methodology
Value Model
Edgework action value · 2025–26
Prices established production (two seasons)at the market’s own pay curve, in today’s cap dollars — not term, growth, aging, or negotiation. How this works
Contract Surplus
+$1.3Munderpaidone-season rating
Produces like #148 of 250 priced forwards on 2025-26 alone (one qualifying season), paid like the #216 — $3.0M (#218 restated).
market pays $4.5M at that rank vs $3.3M in 2026-27 dollars
2025-26 alone: #161 of 249
one-season rating — the blend rests on 2025-26 only (he qualified in one of the two blend seasons); wider uncertainty than a two-season read
AAV $3.0M · 3.1% of cap at signing · $3.3M in 2026-27 dollars
Below the model’s value/AAV floor — not a headline bargain.
Net contribution
−2.5goals vs avg · 5v5-0.19net (σ)
#155 of 249 forwards
≈ ~−0.4 wins vs positional average
5v5 zone-rate vs position peers
Season impact
+20.6
#161 of 249 forwards
total action value, all strengths
Offensive contribution
0.84
#178 of 249 forwards
Defensive contribution
0.02
#118 of 249 forwards
Shooting
0.47
Playmaking
0.35
Shot-blocking
0.09
RAPM net · 3-yr
+0.40
Positional Value
vs position peers
Projected · 2026-27Net Contribution
32ndpercentile among
projected wingers
projected wingers
Rank 90 of 132 wingersproj 0
Data · NHL EDGE
EDGE data refreshed recentlyCached · 12 hours