13
2026–27 · player profile
Alexis
Lafrenière.
NYR· L· Shoots L· 6'1" / 193 lbs· Age 24· St-Eustache, Quebec
GP
4
G
0
A
1
PTS
1
+/–
+1
TOI/GP
—
Tonight vs TBLProjected shots 1.5 · P(2+) 44% · P(3+) 20%F2 · PP1 · not a betting product — methodology
Value Model
Edgework action value · 2025–26
Prices established production (two seasons)at the market’s own pay curve, in today’s cap dollars — not term, growth, aging, or negotiation. How this works
Contract Surplus
−$2.1Moverpaidgrowth deal — priced on projection
Produces like #104 of 250 priced forwards over two seasons (5:3 blend of Season impact), paid like the #73 — $7.5M (#82 restated).
market pays $6.0M at that rank vs $8.1M in 2026-27 dollars
2025-26 alone: #106 of 249
priced on the trajectory: 2024-25 −0.31σ → 2025-26 +0.13σ
AAV $7.5M · 8.5% of cap at signing · $8.1M in 2026-27 dollars
Net contribution
−1.1goals vs avg · 5v5+0.20net (σ)
#104 of 249 forwards
≈ ~−0.2 wins vs positional average
5v5 zone-rate vs position peers
Season impact
+26.7
#106 of 249 forwards
total action value, all strengths
Offensive contribution
0.89
#162 of 249 forwards
Defensive contribution
0.06
#48 of 249 forwards
Shooting
0.64
Playmaking
0.23
Shot-blocking
0.13
RAPM net · 3-yr
+0.38
Positional Value
vs position peers
Projected · 2026-27Net Contribution
46thpercentile among
projected wingers
projected wingers
Rank 72 of 132 wingersproj +1
Data · NHL EDGE
EDGE data refreshed recentlyCached · 12 hours