23
2026–27 · player profile
Mattias
Samuelsson.
BUF· D· Shoots L· 6'4" / 234 lbs· Age 26· Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
GP
2
G
1
A
1
PTS
2
+/–
-2
TOI/GP
—
Value Model
Edgework action value · 2025–26
Prices established production (two seasons)at the market’s own pay curve, in today’s cap dollars — not term, growth, aging, or negotiation. How this works
Contract Surplus
+$6.7Munderpaidgrowth deal — priced on projectionone-season rating
Produces like #6 of 118 priced defensemen on 2025-26 alone (one qualifying season), paid like the #95 — $4.3M (#84 restated).
market pays $12.0M at that rank vs $5.3M in 2026-27 dollars
2025-26 alone: #13 of 108
one-season rating — the blend rests on 2025-26 only (he qualified in one of the two blend seasons); wider uncertainty than a two-season read
priced on the trajectory: 2024-25 — → 2025-26 +1.38σ
AAV $4.3M · 5.2% of cap at signing · $5.3M in 2026-27 dollars
Net contribution
+4.6goals vs avg · 5v5+1.03net (σ)
#15 of 108 defensemen
≈ ~0.8 wins vs positional average
5v5 zone-rate vs position peers
Season impact
+21.8
#13 of 108 defensemen
total action value, all strengths
Offensive contribution
0.49
#19 of 108 defensemen
Defensive contribution
0.14
#28 of 108 defensemen
Shooting
0.33
Playmaking
0.18
Shot-blocking
0.22
RAPM net · 3-yr
-0.09
Positional Value
vs position peers
Projected · 2026-27Net Contribution
89thpercentile among
projected defensemen
projected defensemen
Rank 16 of 138 defensemenproj +3
Data · NHL EDGE
EDGE data refreshed recentlyCached · 12 hours