8
2026–27 · player profile
Brady
Tkachuk.
FLA· L· Shoots L· 6'4" / 226 lbs· Age 27· Scottsdale, Arizona
GP
3
G
0
A
0
PTS
0
+/–
-1
TOI/GP
—
Tonight @ LAKProjected shots 2.2 · P(2+) 63% · P(3+) 38%F4 · PP1 · not a betting product — methodology
Value Model
Edgework action value · 2025–26
Prices established production (two seasons)at the market’s own pay curve, in today’s cap dollars — not term, growth, aging, or negotiation. How this works
Contract Surplus
−$1.7Moverpaidgrowth deal — priced on projection
Produces like #54 of 250 priced forwards over two seasons (5:3 blend of Season impact), paid like the #45 — $8.2M (#36 restated).
market pays $8.7M at that rank vs $10.5M in 2026-27 dollars
2025-26 alone: #92 of 249
priced on the trajectory: 2024-25 +0.82σ → 2025-26 +0.31σ
AAV $8.2M · 10.1% of cap at signing · $10.5M in 2026-27 dollars
Net contribution
+2.9goals vs avg · 5v5+0.88net (σ)
#46 of 249 forwards
≈ ~0.5 wins vs positional average
5v5 zone-rate vs position peers
Season impact
+28.8
#92 of 249 forwards
total action value, all strengths
Offensive contribution
1.20
#53 of 249 forwards
Defensive contribution
0.02
#113 of 249 forwards
Shooting
0.78
Playmaking
0.35
Shot-blocking
0.10
RAPM net · 3-yr
+0.91
Positional Value
vs position peers
Projected · 2026-27Net Contribution
77thpercentile among
projected wingers
projected wingers
Rank 31 of 132 wingersproj +2
Data · NHL EDGE
EDGE data refreshed recentlyCached · 12 hours