27
2026–27 · player profile
Noah
Cates.
PHI· L· Shoots L· 6'2" / 194 lbs· Age 27· Stillwater, Minnesota
GP
3
G
0
A
0
PTS
0
+/–
-2
TOI/GP
—
Tonight @ NJDProjected shots 1.5 · P(2+) 43% · P(3+) 20%F3 · PP2 · not a betting product — methodology
Value Model
Edgework action value · 2025–26
Prices established production (two seasons)at the market’s own pay curve, in today’s cap dollars — not term, growth, aging, or negotiation. How this works
Contract Surplus
+$2.5Munderpaid
Produces like #82 of 250 priced forwards over two seasons (5:3 blend of Season impact), paid like the #180 — $4.0M (#185 restated).
market pays $6.9M at that rank vs $4.4M in 2026-27 dollars
2025-26 alone: #62 of 249
AAV $4.0M · 4.5% of cap at signing · $4.4M in 2026-27 dollars
Below the model’s value/AAV floor — not a headline bargain.
Net contribution
+1.6goals vs avg · 5v5+0.33net (σ)
#91 of 249 forwards
≈ ~0.3 wins vs positional average
5v5 zone-rate vs position peers
Season impact
+31.6
#62 of 249 forwards
total action value, all strengths
Offensive contribution
1.10
#81 of 249 forwards
Defensive contribution
0.01
#136 of 249 forwards
Shooting
0.63
Playmaking
0.27
Shot-blocking
0.15
RAPM net · 3-yr
+0.38
Positional Value
vs position peers
Projected · 2026-27Net Contribution
51stpercentile among
projected wingers
projected wingers
Rank 65 of 132 wingersproj +1
Data · NHL EDGE
EDGE data refreshed recentlyCached · 12 hours