Prices
established production (two seasons)at the market’s own pay curve, in today’s cap dollars — not term, growth, aging, or negotiation.
How this worksContract Surplus
+$4.2Munderpaidgrowth deal — priced on projection
Produces like #1 of 118 priced defensemen over two seasons (5:3 blend of Season impact), paid like the #13 — $9.0M (#10 restated).
market pays $15.7M at that rank vs $11.5M in 2026-27 dollars
2025-26 alone: #4 of 108
priced on the trajectory: 2024-25 +4.14σ → 2025-26 +2.56σ
AAV $9.0M · 11.0% of cap at signing · $11.5M in 2026-27 dollars
extension signed: $20.4M × 8 from 2027-28 — the surplus above is measured against the 2026-27 hit he carries now.