20
2025–26 · player profile
Nick
Paul.
TOR· L· Shoots L· 6'4" / 234 lbs· Age 31· Mississauga, Ontario
GP
51
G
7
A
8
PTS
15
+/–
-15
TOI/GP
—
Value Model
Edgework action value · 2025–26Methodology
Estimated surplus vs 5×5 even-strength value — a model estimate, not a verdict. Expected cost is a within-position fit on each player’s 5v5 zone-rate value; it does not credit power-play or penalty-kill production. A special-teams driver (marked ⓘ PP-heavy) can read as an “overpay” here while still earning his deal. How surplus is computed.
Contract Surplus
+$1.3M
model expects $4.5M vs $3.1M AAV — a 5v5-value estimate, not a verdict
Below the model’s value/AAV floor — not a headline bargain.
Net contribution
-1.21
#221 of 249 forwards
5v5 zone-rate vs position peers
Season impact
+12.3
#215 of 249 forwards
total action value, all strengths
Offensive contribution
0.95
#143 of 249 forwards
Defensive contribution
-0.15
#240 of 249 forwards
Shooting
0.57
Playmaking
0.16
Shot-blocking
0.11
RAPM net · 3-yr
-0.11
NHL Edge Percentiles
Top Shot Speedshooting
15
82.9 mph
Top Skating Speedskating
62
22.49 mph
20+ mph Burstsskating
55
67
Total Distance Skatedskating
25
112.2 mi
Max Distance / Gameskating
73
3.41 mi
Shots on Goalshooting
47
68
Offensive Zone Time %possession
56
42.2%
Shot Locations
shots on goal · season to date
low volhigh vol
Top zones
Low Slot2855p
High Slot959p
Outside R775p
L Circle543p
L Point580p
R Circle541p
cell value = shots · color = league %ile
Last Five
game log
| Date | Opp | Res | G | A | P | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3 | vs MTL | L 1–2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:38 |
| May 1 | @ MTL | W 1–0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:25 |
| Apr 26 | @ MTL | W 3–2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:33 |
| Apr 24 | @ MTL | L 2–3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:58 |
| Apr 21 | vs MTL | W 3–2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:32 |
Career by Season
NHL regular season
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/– | TOI/GP | S% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | Lightning | 51 | 7 | 8 | 15 | -15 | 13:41 | 10.3% |
| 2024–25 | Lightning | 76 | 22 | 19 | 41 | +13 | 16:27 | 15.6% |
| 2023–24 | Lightning | 82 | 24 | 22 | 46 | -16 | 17:16 | 15.7% |
| 2022–23 | Lightning | 80 | 17 | 15 | 32 | +11 | 16:10 | 14.2% |
| 2021–22 | Senators | 59 | 11 | 7 | 18 | -18 | 17:22 | 8.4% |
| 2021–22 | Lightning | 21 | 5 | 9 | 14 | +4 | 14:06 | 14.3% |
| 2020–21 | Senators | 56 | 5 | 15 | 20 | +5 | 16:05 | 4.8% |
| 2019–20 | Senators | 56 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 0 | 14:27 | 8.7% |
| 2018–19 | Senators | 20 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -10 | 8:28 | 3.3% |
| 2017–18 | Senators | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 7:54 | 9.1% |
| 2016–17 | Senators | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 16:29 | 0.0% |
| 2015–16 | Senators | 24 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 12:12 | 7.1% |
Common linemates
TOR · top forwards by points
proxy · team scoring leaders, not tracked line-combination data
Data · NHL EDGE · contracts: see /data/contracts.json
EDGE data refreshed recentlyCached · 12 hours