95
2025–26 · player profile
Matt
Duchene.
DAL· C· Shoots L· 5'11" / 211 lbs· Age 35· Haliburton, Ontario
GP
57
G
16
A
29
PTS
45
+/–
-3
TOI/GP
—
Value Model
Edgework action value · 2025–26Methodology
Estimated surplus vs 5×5 even-strength value — a model estimate, not a verdict. Expected cost is a within-position fit on each player’s 5v5 zone-rate value; it does not credit power-play or penalty-kill production. A special-teams driver (marked ⓘ PP-heavy) can read as an “overpay” here while still earning his deal. How surplus is computed.
Contract Surplus
+$1.4Mⓘ PP-heavy
model expects $5.9M vs $4.5M AAV — a 5v5-value estimate, not a verdict
Below the model’s value/AAV floor — not a headline bargain.
Net contribution
-0.53
#182 of 249 forwards
5v5 zone-rate vs position peers
Season impact
+25.6
#116 of 249 forwards
total action value, all strengths
Offensive contribution
0.93
#153 of 249 forwards
Defensive contribution
-0.03
#171 of 249 forwards
Shooting
0.51
Playmaking
0.27
Shot-blocking
0.09
RAPM net · 3-yr
-0.02
NHL Edge Percentiles
Top Shot Speedshooting
23
84.2 mph
Top Skating Speedskating
17
21.56 mph
20+ mph Burstsskating
54
67
Total Distance Skatedskating
39
149.0 mi
Max Distance / Gameskating
76
3.49 mi
Shots on Goalshooting
57
89
Offensive Zone Time %possession
65
42.9%
Shot Locations
shots on goal · season to date
low volhigh vol
Top zones
Low Slot3363p
Outside R983p
High Slot855p
R Circle855p
R Net Side894p
L Net Side686p
cell value = shots · color = league %ile
Last Five
game log
| Date | Opp | Res | G | A | P | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30 | @ MIN | L 2–5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19:03 |
| Apr 28 | vs MIN | L 2–4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20:52 |
| Apr 25 | @ MIN | L 2–3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 21:33 |
| Apr 22 | @ MIN | W 4–3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 27:39 |
| Apr 20 | vs MIN | W 4–2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16:17 |
Career by Season
NHL regular season
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/– | TOI/GP | S% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | Stars | 57 | 16 | 29 | 45 | -3 | 16:31 | 18.0% |
| 2024–25 | Stars | 82 | 30 | 52 | 82 | +13 | 17:09 | 19.7% |
| 2023–24 | Stars | 80 | 25 | 40 | 65 | +15 | 16:46 | 14.5% |
| 2022–23 | Predators | 71 | 22 | 34 | 56 | +4 | 18:19 | 13.1% |
| 2021–22 | Predators | 78 | 43 | 43 | 86 | +6 | 19:01 | 18.9% |
| 2020–21 | Predators | 34 | 6 | 7 | 13 | -12 | 15:50 | 8.2% |
| 2019–20 | Predators | 66 | 13 | 29 | 42 | -4 | 16:53 | 9.6% |
| 2018–19 | Senators | 50 | 27 | 31 | 58 | -2 | 19:15 | 21.4% |
| 2018–19 | Blue Jackets | 23 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -1 | 17:57 | 8.7% |
| 2017–18 | Avalanche | 14 | 4 | 6 | 10 | +1 | 15:46 | 17.4% |
| 2017–18 | Senators | 68 | 23 | 26 | 49 | -23 | 18:52 | 13.8% |
| 2016–17 | Avalanche | 77 | 18 | 23 | 41 | -34 | 18:18 | 11.3% |
| 2015–16 | Avalanche | 76 | 30 | 29 | 59 | -8 | 18:35 | 15.0% |
| 2014–15 | Avalanche | 82 | 21 | 34 | 55 | +3 | 18:34 | 10.1% |
| 2013–14 | Avalanche | 71 | 23 | 47 | 70 | +8 | 18:30 | 10.6% |
| 2012–13 | Avalanche | 47 | 17 | 26 | 43 | -12 | 20:55 | 12.9% |
| 2011–12 | Avalanche | 58 | 14 | 14 | 28 | -11 | 16:17 | 10.6% |
| 2010–11 | Avalanche | 80 | 27 | 40 | 67 | -8 | 18:57 | 13.4% |
| 2009–10 | Avalanche | 81 | 24 | 31 | 55 | +1 | 17:44 | 13.3% |
Common linemates
DAL · top forwards by points
L
Jason Robertson
96pts· 45 G · 51 A
C
Wyatt Johnston
86pts· 45 G · 41 A
R
Mikko Rantanen
77pts· 22 G · 55 A
proxy · team scoring leaders, not tracked line-combination data
Data · NHL EDGE · contracts: see /data/contracts.json
EDGE data refreshed recentlyCached · 12 hours