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74
2026–27 · player profile

John
Carlson.

TBL· D· Shoots R· 6'3" / 225 lbs· Age 36· Natick, Massachusetts
John Carlson
GP
2
G
0
A
1
PTS
1
+/–
-1
TOI/GP
—

Value Model

Edgework action value · 2025–26
Prices established production (two seasons)at the market’s own pay curve, in today’s cap dollars — not term, growth, aging, or negotiation. How this works
Contract Surplus
+$2.8Munderpaid
Produces like #10 of 118 priced defensemen over two seasons (5:3 blend of Season impact), paid like the #21 — $8.5M (#36 restated).
market pays $11.3M at that rank vs $8.5M in 2026-27 dollars
2025-26 alone: #17 of 108
AAV $8.5M · 8.2% of cap at signing · $8.5M in 2026-27 dollars
Net contribution
+3.3goals vs avg · 5v5+0.91net (σ)
#20 of 108 defensemen
≈ ~0.6 wins vs positional average
5v5 zone-rate vs position peers
Season impact
+20.7
#17 of 108 defensemen
total action value, all strengths
Offensive contribution
0.59
#11 of 108 defensemen
Defensive contribution
0.02
#89 of 108 defensemen
Shooting
0.30
Playmaking
0.31
Shot-blocking
0.19
RAPM net · 3-yr
+0.54

Positional Value

vs position peers
Projected · 2026-27Net Contribution
87thpercentile among
projected defensemen
Rank 19 of 138 defensemenproj +2
Data · NHL EDGE
EDGE data refreshed recentlyCached · 12 hours