11
2026–27 · player profile
Mikael
Backlund.
CGY· C· Shoots L· 6'0" / 206 lbs· Age 37· Vasteras, SWE
GP
3
G
0
A
0
PTS
0
+/–
-3
TOI/GP
—
Tonight vs SEAProjected shots 1.7 · P(2+) 49% · P(3+) 25%F1 · PP2 · not a betting product — methodology
Value Model
Edgework action value · 2025–26
Prices established production (two seasons)at the market’s own pay curve, in today’s cap dollars — not term, growth, aging, or negotiation. How this works
Contract Surplus
+$2.0Munderpaid
Produces like #122 of 250 priced forwards over two seasons (5:3 blend of Season impact), paid like the #208 — $3.3M (#222 restated).
market pays $5.3M at that rank vs $3.3M in 2026-27 dollars
2025-26 alone: #143 of 249
AAV $3.3M · 3.4% of cap at signing · $3.3M in 2026-27 dollars
Below the model’s value/AAV floor — not a headline bargain.
Net contribution
−3.4goals vs avg · 5v5-1.09net (σ)
#213 of 249 forwards
≈ ~−0.6 wins vs positional average
5v5 zone-rate vs position peers
Season impact
+22.9
#143 of 249 forwards
total action value, all strengths
Offensive contribution
0.96
#137 of 249 forwards
Defensive contribution
-0.15
#239 of 249 forwards
Shooting
0.58
Playmaking
0.27
Shot-blocking
0.09
RAPM net · 3-yr
-0.18
Positional Value
vs position peers
Projected · 2026-27Net Contribution
8thpercentile among
projected centers
projected centers
Rank 150 of 163 centersproj -5
Data · NHL EDGE
EDGE data refreshed recentlyCached · 12 hours